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Thursday, 13 August 2026Regular Season - 20Estadio Carlos Dittborn
San Marcos de Arica

San Marcos de Arica

Home
VSFinal Score
Union San Felipe

Union San Felipe

Away
1 - Home45%
X - Draw30%
2 - Away25%
Predicted scoreline1 - 0
RiskMedium
Tip confidence62%
Value Bet of the Match

San Marcos de Arica 1-0

Correct Score 1-0 — 1u stake

Most likely scoreline given the expected low-scoring affair.

6.00

Tactical Match Analysis & Insights

Model Verified

San Marcos de Arica have been solid at home, relying on a compact defense and quick transitions. Their key striker, Matías Parra, has been in decent form, but the team often grinds out narrow wins. Union San Felipe are a mid-table side with an inconsistent away record, struggling to score on the road, which could favor the home side's low-block approach.

Analyzing performance metrics, San Marcos de Arica show an attacking index of 50%, whereas Union San Felipe present a defensive index of 31%. Statistical indicators and head-to-head records highlight tactical value opportunities across market options.

Predictive Model Verdict: Our analytics engine projects 1 - 0 with 62% confidence. The primary recommendation targets San Marcos de Arica, supported by key performance trends and risk-adjusted probability calculations.

MMatías Parra· StrikerCCristian Pavez· MidfielderJJorge Luna· MidfielderGGonzalo Rivas· Goalkeeper

Team Comparison

50%Form50%
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
50%Attack50%
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
69%Defence31%
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
86%Poisson14%
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica — Last 5

Form33%Attack33%Defence67%Goals for /game0.8Goals against /game0.8

Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe — Last 5

Form33%Attack33%Defence25%Goals for /game0.8Goals against /game1.8

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings
23 Mar 26Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe1 - 1San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
18 Oct 25San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica1 - 0Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe
7 Jun 25Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe1 - 2San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
20 Oct 24San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica1 - 2Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe
4 Jun 24Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe0 - 2San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica

Statistical model lean: Double chance : San Marcos de Arica or draw — 45%/45%/10%

Main Markets

3 markets
1X2San Marcos de Arica

Home advantage and better defensive record.

62%
2.30
Double ChanceSan Marcos de Arica or Draw

Visitors have poor away form.

75%
1.36
Draw No BetSan Marcos de Arica

Safety in case of a draw.

62%
1.60

Goals

4 markets
Total Goals O/U 2.5Under 2.5

Both teams score few goals, especially away for Union San Felipe.

70%
1.70
BTTSNo

Union San Felipe have failed to score in several away games.

65%
1.80
Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5

Slight edge, but likely a tight game.

55%
1.90
Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5

Low-scoring league, both teams conservative.

85%
1.25

Half Markets

1 market
Win Either HalfSan Marcos de Arica

Home team likely to score in one half.

60%
1.80

SummaryBack San Marcos de Arica to win a low-scoring match, with under 2.5 goals as a safe bet. Consider the 1-0 correct score as a value pick.

Tips are statistical opinions, not guarantees. Stake responsibly. 18+