SokaFundi
ColombiaPrimera AColombia: Primera A FREE TIPFull Time
Wednesday, 5 August 2026Clausura - 3Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

Home
VSFinal Score
Independiente Medellin

Independiente Medellin

Away
1 - Home60%
X - Draw28%
2 - Away12%
Predicted scoreline2 - 0
RiskMedium
Tip confidence68%
Value Bet of the Match

Deportes Tolima Win

Match Result (1X2) — 1u stake

Best risk/reward on the board for this fixture.

2.00

Tactical Match Analysis & Insights

Model Verified

Deportes Tolima face Independiente Medellin in Primera A. Our analysis weights recent form, home advantage, and scoring rates, projecting 2 - 0.

Deportes Tolima Win is the primary lean at 68% confidence. Free members see eight core markets — 1X2, double chance, goals lines, BTTS, draw no bet and halves.

Predictive Model Verdict: Our analytics engine projects 2 - 0 with 68% confidence. The primary recommendation targets Deportes Tolima Win, supported by key performance trends and risk-adjusted probability calculations.

DDeportes Tolima Attack· Primary scoring threatIIndependiente Medellin Defence· Organisational anchor

Team Comparison

43%Form57%
Deportes TolimaIndependiente Medellin
47%Attack53%
Deportes TolimaIndependiente Medellin
40%Defence60%
Deportes TolimaIndependiente Medellin
60%Poisson40%
Deportes TolimaIndependiente Medellin

Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima — Last 5

Form60%Attack41%Defence65%Goals for /game1.4Goals against /game1.2

Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin — Last 5

Form80%Attack47%Defence76%Goals for /game1.6Goals against /game0.8

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings
28 Jan 26Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin2 - 2Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
27 Sept 25Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima2 - 3Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
15 Jun 25Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin2 - 1Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
4 Jun 25Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1 - 3Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin
16 May 25Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin0 - 1Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima

Statistical model lean: Double chance : draw or Independiente Medellin — 10%/45%/45%

Main Markets

3 markets
Match Result (1X2)Deportes Tolima Win

Highest probability outcome at 60%.

68%
1.72
Double ChanceDeportes Tolima or Draw (1X)

Covers two of three outcomes — the safer play.

76%
1.28
Draw No BetDeportes Tolima (DNB)

Stake refunded on a draw — cover on the favourite.

65%
1.55

Goals

4 markets
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals

Expected total goals around 2.

64%
1.88
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)No

Read from projected scoreline and attack rates.

62%
1.80
Over 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals

Most fixtures in this league clear two goals.

70%
1.30
Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals

Shootouts are rare between these sides.

69%
1.36

Half Markets

1 market
Win Either HalfDeportes Tolima to win either half

The stronger side usually takes at least one half.

66%
1.50

SummaryPick: Deportes Tolima Win. Scoreline lean 2 - 0. Confidence 68%.

Tips are statistical opinions, not guarantees. Stake responsibly. 18+