Tuesday, 11 August 20263rd Qualifying RoundMerkur-Arena

Sturm Graz
HomeVSFinal Score

Fenerbahçe
Away1 - Home45%
X - Draw23%
2 - Away32%
Predicted scoreline1 - 1
RiskMedium
Tip confidence68%
Tactical Match Analysis & Insights
Model VerifiedSturm Graz face Fenerbahçe in UEFA Champions League.
Expected goals (xG), transition speed, and defensive structure project 1 - 1 as the primary scoreline with 68% model confidence.
VIP board features 14+ expanded markets including Correct Score, HT/FT, Team Totals, and Corners.
SSturm Graz Playmaker· Chance creator & progressive passerFFenerbahçe Winger· Counter-attack transition outlet
Team Comparison
46%Form54%
Sturm GrazFenerbahçe
60%Attack40%
Sturm GrazFenerbahçe
33%Defence67%
Sturm GrazFenerbahçe
100%Poisson0%
Sturm GrazFenerbahçe
Sturm Graz — Last 5
Form67%Attack32%Defence89%Goals for /game2.0Goals against /game0.7
Fenerbahçe — Last 5
Form78%Attack21%Defence95%Goals for /game1.3Goals against /game0.3
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings5 Aug 26Fenerbahçe
2 - 0
Sturm Graz
3 Aug 17Fenerbahçe
1 - 1
Sturm Graz
27 Jul 17Sturm Graz
1 - 2
Fenerbahçe
Statistical model lean: Double chance : draw or Fenerbahçe — 10%/45%/45%
Main Markets
2 marketsMatch Result (1X2)Sturm Graz Win
2.4245% win probability after home advantage and form weighting.
68%
Double ChanceSturm Graz or Draw (1X)
1.60Covers two of three outcomes — the safer way to play this fixture.
76%
Goals
1 marketTotal Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 Goals
1.98Expected total goals around 2 from the projected 1 - 1 scoreline.
62%
15 more VIP markets on this match
Correct score, HT/FT, team totals, clean sheets and combination markets are reserved for VIP members.
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