Hapoel Beer Sheva enter as home underdogs, but their compact 4-4-2 block and set-piece threat from corners could trouble a Red Star side that dominates possession. However, Red Star's superior attacking transitions, spearheaded by their pacy wingers, exploit space behind Beer Sheva's high line.

Statistical models favor the Serbian champions (67% form, 75% attack), but home advantage and a raucous Turner Stadium crowd keep this competitive. Expect Red Star to control midfield, but Beer Sheva's direct play and aerial duels could yield a goal.

The away side's defensive solidity (100% defensive potential) suggests they'll limit home chances, while their clinical finishing edges a tight contest.