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Thursday, 13 August 2026Round of 16Estadio Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali

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VSFinal Score
Atletico Nacional

Atletico Nacional

Away
1 - Home34%
X - Draw30%
2 - Away36%
Predicted scoreline1 - 1
RiskMedium
Tip confidence60%
Value Bet of the Match

1-1 Draw

Correct Score 1-1 — 1u stake

The most likely outcome based on team strengths and historical tightness, offering good value at 6.50.

6.50

Tactical Match Analysis & Insights

Model Verified

Deportivo Cali have struggled for consistency this season, but their home form at Estadio Deportivo Cali remains their fortress, with a compact midfield and dangerous wingers like Teo Gutiérrez providing experience. However, their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed against top sides, conceding late goals in recent matches. Atletico Nacional, despite their away struggles, possess superior individual quality with Dorlan Pabón's creativity and Jefferson Duque's clinical finishing, making them a constant threat on the counter.

In Copa Colombia, both teams often rotate squads, but Nacional's depth gives them an edge in midfield battles. Historically, these derbies are tight, with low-scoring outcomes common. Expect a cautious start, with Nacional likely to control possession while Cali rely on quick transitions.

The most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, as both sides have shown defensive lapses but also the ability to score from set pieces.

TTeo Gutiérrez· StrikerDDorlan Pabón· Attacking MidfielderJJefferson Duque· Striker

Main Markets

3 markets
1X2Away Win (Atletico Nacional)

Nacional have superior quality and are slight favorites despite away form.

36%
2.40
Double Chance1X (Home or Draw)

Cali are strong at home, and a draw is likely, so this is a safe cover.

64%
1.50
Draw No BetAtletico Nacional

If the draw is excluded, Nacional are the stronger side and should edge it.

40%
1.75

Goals

4 markets
Total Goals Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5

Both teams have low-scoring encounters in this fixture; expect a tight match.

65%
1.80
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)Yes

Both have attacking threats and defensive weaknesses, so both likely to score.

55%
1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsYes

At least two goals are likely given the attacking talent on display.

60%
1.55
Under 3.5 GoalsYes

Historically, this derby produces few goals; under 3.5 is very safe.

75%
1.35

Half Markets

1 market
Win Either HalfAtletico Nacional

Nacional are likely to score in one half, given their attacking quality.

45%
1.85

SummaryThis is a closely contested derby. Back Under 2.5 goals and BTTS Yes as the safest bets, while the 1-1 correct score offers value. Avoid heavy favorites.

Tips are statistical opinions, not guarantees. Stake responsibly. 18+